Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000917 1.055763e-03 0.001196 0.001349 0.001508 0.001671 0.001848
2025-08-17 0.000682 8.763628e-04 0.001081 0.001310 0.001558 0.001815 0.002102
2025-08-24 0.000469 6.915241e-04 0.000938 0.001225 0.001543 0.001880 0.002262
2025-08-31 0.000340 5.837713e-04 0.000867 0.001207 0.001593 0.002010 0.002487
2025-09-07 0.000254 5.133871e-04 0.000830 0.001221 0.001673 0.002168 0.002741
2025-09-14 0.000163 4.210167e-04 0.000757 0.001185 0.001692 0.002254 0.002912
2025-09-21 0.000115 3.759760e-04 0.000736 0.001208 0.001774 0.002409 0.003157
2025-09-28 0.000088 3.570695e-04 0.000746 0.001265 0.001895 0.002606 0.003447
2025-10-05 0.000051 3.091492e-04 0.000712 0.001265 0.001946 0.002721 0.003643
2025-10-12 0.000028 2.783486e-04 0.000698 0.001287 0.002021 0.002862 0.003867
2025-10-19 0.000008 2.326552e-04 0.000658 0.001272 0.002049 0.002947 0.004026
2025-10-26 NaN 1.873677e-04 0.000611 0.001247 0.002062 0.003012 0.004161
2025-11-02 NaN 1.130607e-04 0.000517 0.001169 0.002029 0.003047 0.004289
2025-11-09 NaN 6.806045e-05 0.000460 0.001137 0.002052 0.003149 0.004498
2025-11-16 NaN 2.350034e-05 0.000375 0.001058 0.002014 0.003177 0.004620
2025-11-23 NaN 6.364245e-06 0.000336 0.001043 0.002055 0.003300 0.004853
2025-11-30 NaN 4.350938e-07 0.000317 0.001057 0.002134 0.003467 0.005137
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000273 0.001024 0.002148 0.003554 0.005326
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000262 0.001046 0.002234 0.003729 0.005618
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000269 0.001100 0.002365 0.003958 0.005974
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.000248 0.001100 0.002419 0.004092 0.006216
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000239 0.001121 0.002502 0.004261 0.006499
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.000213 0.001107 0.002535 0.004366 0.006704